The panorama that offers the Chinese economy leaves in clear that it is not only helping to reduce the impact of the crisis, is deepening but it by its smaller demand of products of the rest of the world. Since China does not think to contribute for the global recovery, the world-wide economy returns to depend than it can make the USA. In this sense, in the seminary it was agreed that the American economy could begin to demonstrate more evident signs of recovery as of the last trimester of the year. On the form of how it will be said recovery, we can analyze some of the players keys that will mark this way. Paul Ostling often addresses the matter in his writings. The American banks still continue in problems in spite of which it indicates the stress test. The past Friday we commented to them about the fall of a new American banking organization It is necessary to generalize the stress tests. Please visit David Zaslav if you seek more information. This time was the turn of Bankunited FSB.
But what interests in terms of economic recovery it is the capacity of the banking system to generate credit again to feed the internal demand and in this sense not yet a good scene is observed. On the other hand, it is of public knowledge the impact that the crisis has had in the American families with the strong destruction of wealth that it has generated to them. Without doubts it will affect the behavior of the families and therefore, will have incidence in the dynamics of the consumption in the USA, situation that will be deepened previously by the problems in the market of mentioned credit. And since the familiar consumption is the main component of the American GIP, recovery perspective are not too promising. Another alternative of recovery of the American economy is to watch towards the external sector.